
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Almere City |
| 45.66% ( | 22.93% ( | 31.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.8% ( | 37.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.6% ( | 59.4% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% ( | 16.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.35% ( | 46.65% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( | 23.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.55% ( | 57.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 4-0 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 4.36% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 3-3 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0-3 @ 2% ( 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3% Total : 31.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
