

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.29%) and 1-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 43.03% ( | 21.91% ( | 35.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 69.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.32% ( | 30.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48% ( | 52% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( | 15.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.25% ( | 43.74% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.55% ( | 18.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.38% ( | 49.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 3-2 @ 4.47% ( 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-3 @ 1.19% ( 5-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-2 @ 7.11% ( 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 3-3 @ 2.52% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 2-3 @ 4.01% ( 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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