

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur | 
| 48.45% (  0.13) | 20.9% (  0.07) | 30.64% (  -0.2) | 
| Both teams to score 71.12% (  -0.4) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 72.57% (  -0.46) | 27.42% (  0.46) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 51.97% (  -0.58) | 48.02% (  0.57) | 
| Adelaide United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.87% (  -0.13) | 12.13% (  0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.28% (  -0.27) | 37.71% (  0.27) | 
| Macarthur Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.93% (  -0.33) | 19.06% (  0.33) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.34% (  -0.56) | 50.65% (  0.55) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur | 
| 2-1 @ 8.53% (  0.06) 3-1 @ 6% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 5.14% (  0.09) 3-2 @ 4.97% (  -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.88% (  0.11) 3-0 @ 3.62% (  0.05) 4-1 @ 3.16% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.62% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.91% (  0.02) 4-3 @ 1.45% (  -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.33% (  -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.11% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.45% | 1-1 @ 8.08% (  0.1) 2-2 @ 7.07% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.75% (  -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.31% (  0.06) Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 6.7% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 3.91% (  -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.83% (  0.07) 1-3 @ 3.7% (  -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.18% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 1.75% (  -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% (  -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.53% (  -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.14% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.64% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 | 
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 
| 3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 | 
| 8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 | 
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 | 
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13 | 
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 8 | 
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 | 
| > Australian A-League Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
