

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 49.96% ( | 21.4% ( | 28.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.73% ( | 31.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.29% ( | 52.71% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.95% ( | 13.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.37% ( | 39.63% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( | 22.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.49% ( | 55.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 2-0 @ 5.99% ( 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 3-2 @ 4.62% ( 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 4-2 @ 2.35% ( 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 5-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 49.96% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-3 @ 2.32% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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