Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Adelaide United has a probability of 33.07% and a draw has a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Adelaide United win is 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.82%).
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
44.27% (![]() | 22.67% (![]() | 33.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.55% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.85% (![]() | 35.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.85% (![]() | 57.15% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.53% (![]() | 16.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.83% (![]() | 46.17% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% (![]() | 21.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.41% (![]() | 54.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.86% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.61% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 9.82% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 7.54% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.6% Total : 33.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
4 | Macarthur | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
6 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |