

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Adelaide United has a probability of 33.07% and a draw has a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Adelaide United win is 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.82%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 44.27% ( | 22.67% ( | 33.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.85% ( | 35.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.85% ( | 57.15% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( | 16.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.83% ( | 46.17% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( | 21.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.41% ( | 54.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 4-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.61% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-3 @ 2.09% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 2-4 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.6% Total : 33.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 |
| 2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
| 12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
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