Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 36.46% ( | 25.37% ( | 38.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.64% ( | 47.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% ( | 69.57% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( | 25.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.87% ( | 60.13% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( | 24.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.17% ( | 58.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 28 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 21 |
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 18 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
