Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.