Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
40.74% (![]() | 25.51% (![]() | 33.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.61% (![]() | 48.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.47% (![]() | 70.53% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% (![]() | 23.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.41% (![]() | 57.59% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.57% (![]() | 27.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.09% (![]() | 62.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 9.34% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.74% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 12.08% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.35% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 33.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 37 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 28 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 24 |
8 | Macarthur | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 21 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 20 |
10 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 20 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 18 |
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