Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Adelaide United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Adelaide United.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 61.15% ( | 21.93% ( | 16.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( | 47.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( | 70% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.85% ( | 15.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.26% ( | 43.74% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.37% ( | 41.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.88% ( | 78.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 61.15% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.31% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.93% | 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 2-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 16.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 52 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 42 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
| 8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
| 10 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 26 |
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