

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 48.85% ( | 22.96% ( | 28.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.78% ( | 39.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.45% ( | 61.55% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( | 16.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.1% ( | 45.9% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( | 26.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.34% ( | 61.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 5-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 2 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
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