

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 70.45% ( | 16.76% ( | 12.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.37% ( | 32.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.71% ( | 54.29% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.74% ( | 8.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.15% ( | 28.85% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% ( | 37.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.58% ( | 74.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 3-0 @ 8.04% ( 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 4-0 @ 5.01% ( 4-1 @ 4.9% ( 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 5-0 @ 2.5% ( 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 6-0 @ 1.04% ( 6-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 70.45% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.76% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( 0-1 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-2 @ 1.48% ( 1-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 12.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
