Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vizela in this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
32.23% (![]() | 27.83% (![]() | 39.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.78% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.96% (![]() | 58.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.28% (![]() | 78.72% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.73% (![]() | 33.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.12% (![]() | 69.88% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% (![]() | 28.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.84% (![]() | 64.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 10.4% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 13.09% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 11.89% 1-2 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 40 |
2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Casa Pia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 19 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |