

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vizela in this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
| 32.23% ( | 27.83% ( | 39.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% ( | 58.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% ( | 78.72% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( | 33.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.12% ( | 69.88% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( | 28.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.84% ( | 64.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 11.89% 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
| 3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 19 |
| 10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 17 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
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