Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Casa Pia |
39.33% (![]() | 27.61% (![]() | 33.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.95% (![]() | 57.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.07% (![]() | 77.93% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% (![]() | 28.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% (![]() | 63.99% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.82% (![]() | 32.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.34% (![]() | 68.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.49% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 13.03% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.39% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |