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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Casa Pia
Arouca
0 - 1
Casa Pia

Cristo (44'), Montero (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cardoso (90+1')
Fernandes (11'), Mukendi (83'), Cardoso (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Casa Pia

Armed with confidence from their positive start, which culminated in the impressive draw against Porto, and on the back of a break from competitive action, we back Arouca to take all three points on Sunday with home advantage on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawCasa Pia
39.33% (-0.297 -0.3) 27.61% (0.325 0.33) 33.06% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.65% (-0.976 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (-1.232 -1.23)57.04% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.07% (-0.991 -0.99)77.93% (0.98999999999999 0.99)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (-0.753 -0.75)28.27% (0.751 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (-0.961 -0.96)63.99% (0.959 0.96)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (-0.645 -0.64)32.18% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (-0.738 -0.74)68.66% (0.736 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 39.33%
    Casa Pia 33.05%
    Draw 27.61%
AroucaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 10.31% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.05%

How you voted: Arouca vs Casa Pia

Arouca
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Casa Pia
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Arouca
2-0
Casa Pia
Mujica (81', 90+3')
Sep 4, 2022 3.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica97111981122
2Sporting Lisbon87101771022
3Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes96121710719
4Porto8611116519
5Braga95222317617
6BoavistaBoavista84311813515
7MoreirenseMoreirense94231210214
8FamalicaoFamalicao833288012
9PortimonensePortimonense93241018-811
10Gil Vicente93152118310
11Casa Pia924388010
12Estrela Amadora8224812-48
13SC FarenseFarense8215111107
14ChavesChaves92161226-147
15Vizela81341014-46
16AroucaArouca9135914-56
17Rio AveRio Ave8125614-85
18Estoril PraiaEstoril91171420-64

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