

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 30.88% (  -0.18) | 27.48% (  -0.11) | 41.64% (  0.28) | 
| Both teams to score 48.36% (  0.24) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.91% (  0.34) | 57.09% (  -0.33) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.03% (  0.27) | 77.97% (  -0.27) | 
| Casa Pia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.26% (  0.05) | 33.74% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.6% (  0.05) | 70.39% (  -0.05) | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.99% (  0.31) | 27.01% (  -0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.63% (  0.41) | 62.37% (  -0.4) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Casa Pia | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 1-0 @ 9.9% (  -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.04% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.38% (  -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.55% (  -0) 3-0 @ 1.95% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% (  0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.88% | 1-1 @ 12.96% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.11% (  -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.61% (  0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 11.92% (  -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.48% (  0.05) 0-2 @ 7.81% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 3.7% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 3.41% (  0.05) 2-3 @ 2.01% (  0.03) 1-4 @ 1.21% (  0.03) 0-4 @ 1.11% (  0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.64% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | 
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | 
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 | 
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 | 
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | 
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
