Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Rio Ave |
30.88% (![]() | 27.48% (![]() | 41.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.91% (![]() | 57.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.03% (![]() | 77.97% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% (![]() | 33.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.6% (![]() | 70.39% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% (![]() | 27.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.63% (![]() | 62.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 9.9% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.67% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.88% | 1-1 @ 12.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.11% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.61% ( ![]() Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 11.92% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |