Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Porto |
23.6% (![]() | 25.82% (![]() | 50.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.97% (![]() | 55.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.7% (![]() | 76.3% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.39% (![]() | 38.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.65% (![]() | 75.36% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.2% (![]() | 21.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.99% (![]() | 55.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 8.01% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.6% | 1-1 @ 12.2% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.42% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.42% ( ![]() Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 12.82% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.77% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.29% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |