

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Porto | 
| 23.6% (  0.12) | 25.82% (  0.13) | 50.58% (  -0.24) | 
| Both teams to score 48% (  -0.24) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.97% (  -0.38) | 55.03% (  0.38) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.7% (  -0.31) | 76.3% (  0.32) | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.39% (  -0.1) | 38.61% (  0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.65% (  -0.1) | 75.36% (  0.1) | 
| Porto Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.2% (  -0.26) | 21.8% (  0.27) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.99% (  -0.4) | 55.01% (  0.41) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rio Ave | Draw | Porto | 
| 1-0 @ 8.01% (  0.1) 2-1 @ 5.81% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 3.81% (  0.03) 3-1 @ 1.84% (  -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% (  0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.6% | 1-1 @ 12.2% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 8.42% (  0.13) 2-2 @ 4.42% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 12.82% (  0.09) 0-2 @ 9.77% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.29% (  -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.96% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.72% (  -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% (  -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.89% (  -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.8% (  -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.57% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | 
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | 
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 | 
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 | 
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | 
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 | 
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