Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 82.58%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 5.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.63%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | SC Farense |
82.58% (![]() | 11.66% (![]() | 5.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.36% (![]() | 31.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.86% (![]() | 53.13% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.34% (![]() | 5.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.09% (![]() | 21.91% (![]() |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.92% (![]() | 52.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.94% (![]() | 86.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | SC Farense |
2-0 @ 12.15% (![]() 3-0 @ 11.63% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 82.57% | 1-1 @ 5.52% (![]() 0-0 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.61% Total : 11.66% | 0-1 @ 1.92% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 2.03% Total : 5.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Benfica | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
4 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |