Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Porto in this match.
