

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vizela | 
| 42.66% (  -0.01) | 26.49% (  0.02) | 30.85% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 51.32% (  -0.06) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.69% (  -0.08) | 53.31% (  0.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.15% (  -0.06) | 74.85% (  0.06) | 
| Estoril Praia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.25% (  -0.04) | 24.75% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.68% (  -0.05) | 59.31% (  0.05) | 
| Vizela Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.21% (  -0.04) | 31.79% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.77% (  -0.05) | 68.23% (  0.05) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vizela | 
| 1-0 @ 10.98% (  0.02) 2-1 @ 8.79% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.67% (  0) 3-1 @ 4.09% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.57% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.34% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% (  -0) 4-0 @ 1.25% (  -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 42.65% | 1-1 @ 12.59% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 7.87% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 5.04% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.02% (  0.02) 1-2 @ 7.21% (  -0) 0-2 @ 5.17% (  0) 1-3 @ 2.76% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.97% (  -0) 2-3 @ 1.92% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.85% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | 
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | 
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 | 
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 | 
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | 
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
