

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Boavista in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
| 38.61% ( | 27.22% ( | 34.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.59% ( | 55.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.39% ( | 76.6% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( | 27.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.47% ( | 63.52% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.38% ( | 30.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.15% ( | 66.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.6% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
