Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
29.16% (![]() | 26.83% (![]() | 44.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.68% (![]() | 55.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.47% (![]() | 76.53% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.92% (![]() | 34.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.23% (![]() | 70.77% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% (![]() | 24.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.38% (![]() | 59.62% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 9.16% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.16% | 1-1 @ 12.71% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.51% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 11.8% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Benfica | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
4 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 4 |
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