Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.04%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.