

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Maritimo | 
| 40.86% | 28.21% | 30.92% | 
| Both teams to score 46.29% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.29% | 59.71% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.98% | 80.02% | 
| Estoril Praia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.31% | 28.69% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.49% | 64.51% | 
| Maritimo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.91% | 35.09% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.16% | 71.84% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Maritimo | 
| 1-0 @ 12.56% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.66% Total : 40.85% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.13% Total : 30.92% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 | 
| 2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 | 
| 3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 | 
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 | 
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 | 
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 | 
| 10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 | 
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 | 
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 | 
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 | 
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
