

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Benfica |
| 17.03% ( | 21.25% ( | 61.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.29% ( | 44.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.93% ( | 67.08% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.37% ( | 39.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.69% ( | 76.32% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.05% ( | 13.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.57% ( | 41.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 2-1 @ 4.66% ( 2-0 @ 2.37% ( 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.03% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.25% | 0-1 @ 10.89% 0-2 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 7.04% ( 1-3 @ 6.52% ( 0-4 @ 3.47% ( 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0-5 @ 1.37% ( 1-5 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 61.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
