

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Benfica | 
| 17.03% (  -0) | 21.25% (  -0) | 61.72% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 51.94% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.29% (  0.01) | 44.71% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.93% (  0.01) | 67.08% (  -0.01) | 
| Vizela Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.37% (  -0) | 39.64% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.69% (  -0) | 76.32% (  0) | 
| Benfica Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.05% (  0.01) | 13.95% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.57% (  0.01) | 41.43% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Vizela | Draw | Benfica | 
| 1-0 @ 5.12% (  -0) 2-1 @ 4.66% (  -0) 2-0 @ 2.37% (  -0) 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.03% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 0-0 @ 5.53% (  -0) 2-2 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.25% | 0-1 @ 10.89% 0-2 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 7.04% (  0) 1-3 @ 6.52% (  0) 0-4 @ 3.47% (  0) 1-4 @ 3.21% (  0) 2-3 @ 3.02% 2-4 @ 1.49% (  0) 0-5 @ 1.37% (  0) 1-5 @ 1.26% (  0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 61.71% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | 
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | 
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 | 
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 | 
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | 
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 | 
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