Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 9, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon
4 - 0
Tondela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-1 Estoril
Friday, January 5 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, January 5 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tondela 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 23 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, December 23 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Tondela
Momentum and pedigree favour Sporting, while Tondela brace for a last stand. We predict the underdogs' cup adventure ends at the Estadio Jose Alvalade. The hosts will have too much for the visitors to handle in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 7.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.89%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Tondela |
78.2% ( -0.05) | 14.14% ( 0.02) | 7.66% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.16% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
