Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.