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Dumbarton
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 13
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Elgin City
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Elgin
Wallace (67' pen.)
Wallace (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dolzanski (23'), Jones (42'), MacInnes (88')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Dumbarton and Elgin City.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: East Fife 0-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Elgin City win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawElgin City
70.93% (1.258 1.26) 17.08% (-0.704 -0.7) 11.99% (-0.558 -0.56)
Both teams to score 53.16% (0.816 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (1.932 1.93)36.48% (-1.937 -1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.38% (2.08 2.08)58.62% (-2.084 -2.08)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.87% (0.801 0.8)9.13% (-0.806 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.02% (1.887 1.89)30.97% (-1.892 -1.89)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (0.382 0.38)41.5% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22% (0.336 0.34)78% (-0.339 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 70.92%
    Elgin City 11.99%
    Draw 17.08%
DumbartonDrawElgin City
2-0 @ 10.85% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.539 -0.54)
3-0 @ 8.66% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.62% (0.185 0.19)
4-0 @ 5.18% (0.253 0.25)
4-1 @ 4.56% (0.268 0.27)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.116 0.12)
5-0 @ 2.48% (0.204 0.2)
5-1 @ 2.18% (0.201 0.2)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.138 0.14)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.113 0.11)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 70.92%
1-1 @ 7.97% (-0.386 -0.39)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.372 -0.37)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.08%
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-1 @ 3.33% (-0.289 -0.29)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 11.99%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Elgin
2-0
Dumbarton
Ewan (37'), Harvey (64')
Dolzanski (29')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Elgin
1-0
Dumbarton
Draper (90+4')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Dumbarton
1-2
Elgin
Blair (44')
Hester (16'), Dingwall (50' pen.)
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Elgin
0-4
Dumbarton
MacLean (27'), Wylde (52'), Lynas (75'), Wallace (89')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Dumbarton
2-1
Elgin
Love (51' pen., 54' pen.)
Lynas (6'), Buchanan (17'), Byrne (29'), Blair (34'), Gray (56'), McNiff (84')
Hester (27')
Cameron (30'), Dolzanski (50'), Hester (54'), McHardy (60')
rhs 2.0
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6 4 3
4 6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir20154137132449
2PeterheadPeterhead20112733211235
3Spartans1895431211032
4Dumbarton1994634241031
5Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose196582930-123
6StranraerStranraer196492437-1322
7East FifeEast Fife195682525021
8Forfar AthleticForfar204882026-620
9Elgin CityElgin1953111636-2018
10Clyde1927102238-1613

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