Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.