Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.