Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 56.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.