Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.