Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dumbarton in this match.