Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.