Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 55.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Stranraer win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.