| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Gillingham | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 21 | Hartlepool United | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Tranmere Rovers | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Bradford City | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Colchester United | 4 | -1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Bradford City |
| 31.08% ( | 28.17% ( | 40.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.48% ( | 59.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.13% ( | 79.87% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.13% ( | 34.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.39% ( | 71.61% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( | 28.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.52% ( | 64.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 31.07% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0-0 @ 9.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.33% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 12.49% ( 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0-2 @ 7.8% ( 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 40.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 73 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 67 |
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 60 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 60 |
| 7 | Salford City | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 52 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 51 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 50 |
| 13 | Walsall | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 48 |
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 48 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 42 |
| 19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 38 |
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 32 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 31 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 26 |
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