

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Swindon Town | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Colchester United | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 21 | Crawley Town | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Carlisle United | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Bradford City | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colchester United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Bradford City |
| 40.42% ( | 27.61% ( | 31.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.71% ( | 57.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.88% ( | 78.12% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( | 27.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.65% ( | 63.35% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% ( | 33.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.35% ( | 69.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.42% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 2-2 @ 4.62% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 69 |
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 66 |
| 3 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 63 |
| 4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Notts County | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 61 |
| 6 | Port Vale | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 61 |
| 7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 |
| 8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 57 |
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 |
| 10 | Salford City | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 53 |
| 11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 52 |
| 12 | Chesterfield | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 |
| 13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 50 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 49 |
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 47 |
| 16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 46 |
| 17 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 44 |
| 18 | MK Dons | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 42 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 40 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 40 |
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 36 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 30 |
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 27 |
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