MX23RW : Tuesday, April 22 00:57:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Morecambe

Port Vale
1 - 0
Morecambe

Curtis (89')
C (24'), Curtis (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tutonda (17'), Williams (31'), Angol (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Barrow
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Port Vale 3-1 Morecambe

Port Vale are certainly the favourites given the difference in league position, and with the hosts also winning each of the last three clashes at Vale Park, we expect another victory for the Valiants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.

Result
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
56.6% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 24.64% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 18.76% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 44.99% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.33% (-0.217 -0.22)55.67% (0.219 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.18% (-0.176 -0.18)76.82% (0.178 0.18)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)19.6% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (-0.12 -0.12)51.53% (0.122 0.12)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (-0.203 -0.2)44.04% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84% (-0.166 -0.17)80.16% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 56.59%
    Morecambe 18.76%
    Draw 24.64%
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 14.06% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.23% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 56.59%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.63% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 18.76%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Morecambe

Port Vale
85.7%
Draw
9.5%
Morecambe
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Morecambe
0-1
Port Vale
Chislett (83')
Chislett (83'), Baker-Boatiey (85')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Morecambe
1-0
Port Vale
Major (51')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Port Vale
1-0
Morecambe
Smith (34')
Oyeleke (14'), Brisley (26'), Rodney (89')

Lavelle (34')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Morecambe
1-0
Port Vale
Phillips (76' pen.)
Gibson (85'), O'Sullivan (90+5')

Legge (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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