

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe | 
| 56.6% ( | 24.64% ( | 18.76% ( | 
| Both teams to score 44.99% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.33% ( | 55.67% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.18% ( | 76.82% ( | 
| Port Vale Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.41% ( | 19.6% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.47% ( | 51.53% ( | 
| Morecambe Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.96% ( | 44.04% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.84% ( | 80.16% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe | 
| 1-0 @ 14.06% ( 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 2.08% ( Other @ 3.62% Total : 56.59%  | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 2-2 @ 3.85% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.64%  | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0-2 @ 2.9% ( 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 2-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 18.76%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
