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J1 League | Gameweek 17
May 17, 2025 at 6am UK
Machida Athletic Stadium

Machida Zelvia
3 - 0
Reysol

Hayashi (4'), Koga (15' og.), Na (45+2' pen.)
Hayashi (35')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, May 11 at 5.05am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-2 Reysol
Wednesday, May 14 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 46.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Machida Zelvia win it was 1-0 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawKashiwa Reysol
25.33% (-0.29 -0.29) 28.18% (-0.24 -0.24) 46.48% (0.527 0.53)
Both teams to score 43.27% (0.381 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.04% (0.596 0.6)61.95% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.29% (0.437 0.44)81.7% (-0.441 -0.44)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (0.076000000000001 0.08)40.92% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.51% (0.067 0.07)77.48% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (0.54900000000001 0.55)26.76% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (0.721 0.72)62.04% (-0.724 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 25.33%
    Kashiwa Reysol 46.48%
    Draw 28.17%
Machida ZelviaDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 5.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.37% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.95% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.17%
0-1 @ 14.43% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.047 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 46.48%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 6am
Gameweek 34
Reysol
1-1
Machida Zelvia
Hosoya (63')
Shimoda (90+5' pen.)
Shoji (77'), Nakashima (86')
May 3, 2024 7am
Gameweek 11
Machida Zelvia
2-0
Reysol
Oh (9'), Araki (68')

Yamada (42'), Grot (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers19131529151440
2Kyoto Sanga2010463022834
3Kashiwa ReysolReysol199732217534
4Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1810262014632
5Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa208752419531
6Vissel KobeVissel Kobe189362319430
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki1878330191129
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo197572624226
9Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse187472422225
10Machida Zelvia197482223-125
11Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka197392327-424
12Tokyo Verdy196671318-524
13Fagiano OkayamaOkayama186571516-123
14Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus196582426-223
15Avispa Fukuoka196581519-423
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare186391322-921
17Yokohama FCYokohama FC185491218-619
18FC Tokyo185491726-919
19Albirex Niigata183781927-816
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama1835101826-814


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