Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel

Guirassy (3' pen.), Sabitzer (47'), Nmecha (72')
Adeyemi (56'), Bynoe-Gittens (87'), Sabitzer (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Remberg (87')
Johansson (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-4 Dortmund
Sunday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, May 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 75.81%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 10.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 3-0 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.41%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Holstein Kiel
75.81% ( -0.09)	13.58% ( -0.02)	10.62% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 63.46% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.86% (

0.45)

22.14% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.91% (

0.62)

41.09% (

-0.61)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.1% (

0.08)

4.9% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.33% (

0.24)

19.67% (

-0.24)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.73% (

0.55)

33.27% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.12% (

0.6)

69.88% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 75.81%

Holstein Kiel 10.62%

Draw 13.58%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Holstein Kiel
3-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 6-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.9% Total : 75.81%	1-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 13.58%	1-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 10.62%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel

Borussia Dortmund

88.7%

Draw

9.7%

Holstein Kiel

1.6%

Head to Head

Jan 14, 2025 5.30pm

Gameweek 17

Holstein Kiel

4-2

Dortmund

Machino (27'), Harres (32'), Bernhardsson (45+4'), Arp (90+8')
Porath (81'), Arp (90+9')
Holtby (86')

Reyna (71'), Bynoe-Gittens (77')
Duranville (42'), Anton (86')

> Preview

May 1, 2021 7.30pm

Semi-Finals

Dortmund

5-0

Holstein Kiel

Reyna (16', 23'), Reus (26'), Hazard (32'), Bellingham (41')

Hauptmann (37'), Lorenz (86')

> Preview

Form Guide

B. Leverkusen 2-4 Dortmund

Dortmund 4-0 Wolfsburg

Hoffenheim 2-3 Dortmund

Dortmund 3-2 Borussia M'bach

Dortmund 3-1 Barcelona

Bayern 2-2 Dortmund

Holstein Kiel 1-2 Freiburg

Augsburg 1-3 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel 4-3 Borussia M'bach

RB Leipzig 1-1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel 1-2 St Pauli

Mainz 1-1 Holstein Kiel

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table