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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Dortmund logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 4
Dortmund

Frimpong (30'), Hofmann (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Brandt (33'), Ryerson (43'), Adeyemi (73'), Guirassy (77')
Gross (23'), Nmecha (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, May 3 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-4 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
63.5% (0.287 0.29)18.7% (-0.119 -0.12)17.8% (-0.166 -0.17)
Both teams to score 62.87% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.75% (0.30000000000001 0.3)31.25% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.31% (0.354 0.35)52.69% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.56% (0.154 0.15)9.44% (-0.1521 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.28% (0.35599999999999 0.36)31.72% (-0.355 -0.36)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (0.018999999999998 0.02)66.8% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 63.5%
    Borussia Dortmund 17.8%
    Draw 18.7%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.5% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.32% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.44% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.42% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.73% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.62% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.09% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.031 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.24% (0.022 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 63.5%
1-1 @ 8.07% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.89% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.7%
1-2 @ 4.78% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.42% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 17.8%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
38.6%
Draw
15.7%
Borussia Dortmund
45.8%
83
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Bynoe-Gittens (12'), Guirassy (79' pen.)
Nmecha (90+5')
Tella (1'), Schick (8', 19')
Schick (45+3'), Tapsoba (78')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Dortmund
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Fullkrug (81')
Maatsen (37'), Can (45+2'), Fullkrug (45+3'), Schlotterbeck (88')
Stanisic (90+7')
Tella (28'), Frimpong (88'), Xhaka (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
1-1
Dortmund
Okoh Boniface (79')
Frimpong (12'), Palacios (74'), Odilon (90+1')
Ryerson (5')
Hummels (77'), Wolf (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
0-2
Dortmund
Adeyemi (33'), Tapsoba (53' og.)
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Dortmund
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425
> Bundesliga Full Table


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