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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Leverkusen logo
Dortmund
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen
Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
    Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Antalyaspor
    Saturday, July 30 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Elversberg 4-3 B. Leverkusen
      Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal

      We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

       We expect to see a highly entertaining, high-scoring affair between two attacking teams on Saturday. Both meetings saw seven goals scored at either end last season, but we expect the hosts to just edge it having looked more ready for the new season in the DFB-Pokal last weekend. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.68%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

      Result
      Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
      45.96% (1.282 1.28) 21.44% (-0.303 -0.3) 32.6% (-0.979 -0.98)
      Both teams to score 70.11% (0.762 0.76)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      70.86% (1.146 1.15)29.14% (-1.146 -1.15)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      49.86% (1.389 1.39)50.14% (-1.389 -1.39)
      Borussia Dortmund Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      86.46% (0.87299999999999 0.87)13.54% (-0.872 -0.87)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      59.39% (1.717 1.72)40.61% (-1.717 -1.72)
      Bayer Leverkusen Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      81.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)18.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      49.6% (0.103 0.1)50.4% (-0.103 -0.1)
      Score Analysis
          Borussia Dortmund 45.96%
          Bayer Leverkusen 32.6%
          Draw 21.44%
      Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
      2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      3-1 @ 5.68% (0.176 0.18)
      1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.176 -0.18)
      2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
      3-2 @ 4.73% (0.155 0.16)
      3-0 @ 3.41% (0.099 0.1)
      4-1 @ 2.84% (0.174 0.17)
      4-2 @ 2.37% (0.149 0.15)
      4-0 @ 1.71% (0.101 0.1)
      4-3 @ 1.31% (0.085 0.09)
      5-1 @ 1.14% (0.103 0.1)
      5-2 @ 0.95% (0.087 0.09)
      Other @ 3.07%
      Total : 45.96%
      		1-1 @ 8.53% (-0.278 -0.28)
      2-2 @ 7.1% (0.012 0.01)
      3-3 @ 2.63% (0.091 0.09)
      0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.173 -0.17)
      Other @ 0.63%
      Total : 21.44%
      		1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.217 -0.22)
      0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.281 -0.28)
      1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
      2-3 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
      0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.227 -0.23)
      0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
      1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
      2-4 @ 1.64% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
      3-4 @ 1.09% (0.04 0.04)
      Other @ 3.45%
      Total : 32.6%

      How you voted: Dortmund vs B. Leverkusen

      Borussia Dortmund
      75.5%
      Draw
      12.7%
      Bayer Leverkusen
      11.8%
      102
      Head to Head
      Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
      Dortmund
      2-5
      B. Leverkusen
      Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
      Dahoud (26')
      Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
      Bellarabi (46')
      Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
      B. Leverkusen
      3-4
      Dortmund
      Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
      Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
      Braut Haaland (37', 77'), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
      Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')
      May 22, 2021 2.30pm
      Dortmund
      3-1
      B. Leverkusen
      Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
      Bender (89' pen.)
      Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
      B. Leverkusen
      2-1
      Dortmund
      Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
      Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
      Brandt (67')
      Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
      Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
      B. Leverkusen
      4-3
      Dortmund
      Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
      Bender (35'), Volland (67')
      Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
      Guerreiro (39')
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      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
      2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
      3RB Leipzig34206864412366
      4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
      5Freiburg3417895144759
      6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
      7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
      8Wolfsburg341310115748949
      9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
      10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
      11FC Koln341012124954-542
      12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
      13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
      14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
      15Augsburg3497184263-2134
      16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
      RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
      RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
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