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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Dortmund logo

Bayern
2 - 2
Dortmund

Guerreiro (65'), Gnabry (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Beier (48'), Anton (75')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 14.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.15%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
69.97% (0.0030000000000001 0) 15.74%14.28% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 66.42% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)6.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75%29.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.8% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 69.97%
    Borussia Dortmund 14.29%
    Draw 15.74%
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-0 @ 6.5%
4-1 @ 5.58%
1-0 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 4.92%
4-0 @ 4.54%
4-2 @ 3.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 3.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.53%
5-2 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.45%
4-3 @ 1.41%
6-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 69.97%
1-1 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 2.01%
0-0 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 15.74%
1-2 @ 3.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.55%
0-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 14.29%

How you voted: Bayern vs Dortmund

Bayern Munich
70.0%
Draw
22.9%
Borussia Dortmund
7.1%
70
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Dortmund
1-1
Bayern
Bynoe-Gittens (27')
Ryerson (71'), Sahin (80'), Beier (90+5')
Musiala (85')
Sane (88'), Upamecano (90+3')
Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bayern
0-2
Dortmund
Adeyemi (10'), Ryerson (83')
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Dortmund
0-4
Bayern

Hummels (61'), Ryerson (74'), Sabitzer (76')
Upamecano (4'), Kane (9', 72', 90+3')
Sane (22'), Tuchel (42'), Laimer (85')
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Kobel (13' og.), Muller (18', 23'), Coman (50')
Can (72' pen.), Malen (90')
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Dortmund
2-2
Bayern
Moukoko (74'), Modeste (90+5')
Goretzka (33'), Sane (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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