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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Union Berlin logo

Dortmund
6 - 0
Union Berlin

Leite (25' og.), Guirassy (40', 75', 80', 83'), Beier (89')
Bensebaini (50'), Reyna (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Khedira (17'), Tousart (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, February 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, February 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Union Berlin

Kovac will be desperate to earn his first league win as Dortmund boss and his team could come into the clash confident following their European exploits. Considering Union have also been poor on the road for some time, it is difficult to see them avoiding defeat at Signal Iduna Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawUnion Berlin
60.56% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 20.81% (-0.012 -0.01) 18.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)40.09% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.54% (0.032999999999994 0.03)62.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17% (0.019999999999996 0.02)12.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.83% (0.036999999999999 0.04)39.17% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.07% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 60.56%
    Union Berlin 18.62%
    Draw 20.81%
Borussia DortmundDrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.49%
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 60.56%
1-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21%
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.81%
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82%
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 18.62%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Union Berlin

Borussia Dortmund
85.4%
Draw
12.5%
Union Berlin
2.1%
48
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Union Berlin
2-1
Dortmund
Vogt (26' pen.), Vertessen (45')
Vogt (15'), Woo-yeong (41'), Rothe (84'), Trimmel (89')
Ryerson (62')
Schlotterbeck (17'), Sabitzer (83'), Anton (90+4'), Bensebaini (90+6')
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Union Berlin
0-2
Dortmund

Haberer (75'), Vertessen (90+5')
Adeyemi (41'), Maatsen (90')
Ryerson (45')
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Dortmund
4-2
Union Berlin
Fullkrug (7'), Schlotterbeck (49'), Brandt (54'), Ryerson (71')
Hummels (30')
Gosens (9'), Bonucci (31' pen.)
Gosens (64')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Dortmund
2-1
Union Berlin
Malen (28'), Moukoko (79')
Behrens (61')
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
2-0
Dortmund
Haberer (8', 21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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