MX23RW : Thursday, June 5 01:38:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Dortmund logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Union Berlin logo

Dortmund
6 - 0
Union Berlin

Leite (25' og.), Guirassy (40', 75', 80', 83'), Beier (89')
Bensebaini (50'), Reyna (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Khedira (17'), Tousart (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, February 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, February 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Union Berlin

Kovac will be desperate to earn his first league win as Dortmund boss and his team could come into the clash confident following their European exploits. Considering Union have also been poor on the road for some time, it is difficult to see them avoiding defeat at Signal Iduna Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawUnion Berlin
60.56% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 20.81% (-0.012 -0.01) 18.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)40.09% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.54% (0.032999999999994 0.03)62.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17% (0.019999999999996 0.02)12.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.83% (0.036999999999999 0.04)39.17% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.07% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 60.56%
    Union Berlin 18.62%
    Draw 20.81%
Borussia DortmundDrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.49%
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 60.56%
1-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21%
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.81%
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82%
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 18.62%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Union Berlin

Borussia Dortmund
85.4%
Draw
12.5%
Union Berlin
2.1%
48
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Union Berlin
2-1
Dortmund
Vogt (26' pen.), Vertessen (45')
Vogt (15'), Woo-yeong (41'), Rothe (84'), Trimmel (89')
Ryerson (62')
Schlotterbeck (17'), Sabitzer (83'), Anton (90+4'), Bensebaini (90+6')
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Union Berlin
0-2
Dortmund

Haberer (75'), Vertessen (90+5')
Adeyemi (41'), Maatsen (90')
Ryerson (45')
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Dortmund
4-2
Union Berlin
Fullkrug (7'), Schlotterbeck (49'), Brandt (54'), Ryerson (71')
Hummels (30')
Gosens (9'), Bonucci (31' pen.)
Gosens (64')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Dortmund
2-1
Union Berlin
Malen (28'), Moukoko (79')
Behrens (61')
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
2-0
Dortmund
Haberer (8', 21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!