MX23RW : Wednesday, June 4 20:47:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Leipzig logo

Union Berlin
0 - 0
RB Leipzig


Juranovic (32'), Leite (49'), Benes (90+5')
FT

Baumgartner (64'), Poulsen (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, January 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Union Berlin 1-3 RB Leipzig

Given that both sides have been vulnerable defensively in recent weeks, fans can expect an entertaining clash. While Union will be looking to capitalise on Leipzig's poor form, they have not shown that they are able to reliably convert chances into goals, and it would not be surprising if the visitors were more clinical in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
36.45% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 25.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 37.96% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66% (0.099000000000004 0.1)48.34% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (0.09 0.09)70.48% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.031999999999996 0.03)25.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04)60.77% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.076000000000008 0.08)24.97% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (0.105 0.1)59.62% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 36.45%
    RB Leipzig 37.96%
    Draw 25.58%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.45%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 37.96%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
23.9%
Draw
18.6%
RB Leipzig
57.5%
113
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
RB Leipzig
0-0
Union Berlin
Haidara (53'), Kampl (74')
Benes (26'), Khedira (61'), Svensson (84'), Doekhi (85')
Feb 4, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
2-0
Union Berlin
Openda (11'), Sesko (48')
Kampl (20')

Hollerbach (22'), Tousart (47')
Trimmel (73')
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
0-3
RB Leipzig

Kral (27'), Gosens (80'), Haberer (81')
Volland (64')
Simons (51'), Sesko (85', 87')
Henrichs (26')
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Henrichs (24')
Haberer (61'), Knoche (72' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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