MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 14:42:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Leipzig logo

Union Berlin
0 - 0
RB Leipzig


Juranovic (32'), Leite (49'), Benes (90+5')
FT

Baumgartner (64'), Poulsen (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, January 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Union Berlin 1-3 RB Leipzig

Given that both sides have been vulnerable defensively in recent weeks, fans can expect an entertaining clash. While Union will be looking to capitalise on Leipzig's poor form, they have not shown that they are able to reliably convert chances into goals, and it would not be surprising if the visitors were more clinical in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
36.45% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 25.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 37.96% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66% (0.099000000000004 0.1)48.34% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (0.09 0.09)70.48% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.031999999999996 0.03)25.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04)60.77% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.076000000000008 0.08)24.97% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (0.105 0.1)59.62% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 36.45%
    RB Leipzig 37.96%
    Draw 25.58%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.45%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 37.96%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
23.9%
Draw
18.6%
RB Leipzig
57.5%
113
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
RB Leipzig
0-0
Union Berlin
Haidara (53'), Kampl (74')
Benes (26'), Khedira (61'), Svensson (84'), Doekhi (85')
Feb 4, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
2-0
Union Berlin
Openda (11'), Sesko (48')
Kampl (20')

Hollerbach (22'), Tousart (47')
Trimmel (73')
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
0-3
RB Leipzig

Kral (27'), Gosens (80'), Haberer (81')
Volland (64')
Simons (51'), Sesko (85', 87')
Henrichs (26')
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Henrichs (24')
Haberer (61'), Knoche (72' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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