Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 12, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
4 - 2
Werder Bremen

Simons (24', 35'), Sesko (47'), Baumgartner (90')
Haidara (82')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Weiser (26'), Burke (90+3')
Friedl (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 5-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Werder Bremen
48.42% ( 0.89)	23% ( -0.21)	28.58% ( -0.68)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table

RB Leipzig	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.48% Total : 48.42%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.58%

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig4 - 2Werder Bremen

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Werder Bremen

Data Analysis

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen

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RB Leipzig
4 - 2
Werder Bremen