

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.17%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 0-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 23.63% ( | 21.2% ( | 55.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.02% ( | 34.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.03% ( | 56.96% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% ( | 27.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.94% ( | 63.05% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.24% ( | 12.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.97% ( | 39.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.01% ( 1-0 @ 4.53% ( 2-0 @ 2.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 3-0 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.66% Total : 23.63% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 1-3 @ 6.59% ( 0-3 @ 5.11% ( 2-3 @ 4.25% ( 1-4 @ 3.39% ( 0-4 @ 2.63% ( 2-4 @ 2.19% ( 1-5 @ 1.4% ( 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 2-5 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 93 | 32 | 61 | 76 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 68 | 37 | 31 | 68 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 52 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 51 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 47 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Stuttgart | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 44 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 40 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 37 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 60 | -24 | 29 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 25 |
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 67 | -36 | 22 |
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