

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.17%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 0-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig | 
| 23.63% (  -0.06) | 21.2% (  -0) | 55.17% (  0.06) | 
| Both teams to score 63.21% (  -0.07) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.02% (  -0.06) | 34.97% (  0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.03% (  -0.06) | 56.96% (  0.06) | 
| Werder Bremen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.45% (  -0.08) | 27.54% (  0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.94% (  -0.1) | 63.05% (  0.1) | 
| RB Leipzig Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.24% (  -0) | 12.75% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.97% (  -0) | 39.02% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig | 
| 2-1 @ 6.01% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.53% (  0) 2-0 @ 2.92% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.59% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.26% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 23.63% | 1-1 @ 9.33% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 6.19% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.51% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.83% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 9.6% (  0) 0-2 @ 7.45% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 7.23% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 6.59% (  0) 0-3 @ 5.11% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 4.25% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.39% (  0) 0-4 @ 2.63% (  0.01) 2-4 @ 2.19% (  -0) 1-5 @ 1.4% (  0) 0-5 @ 1.08% (  0) 3-4 @ 0.94% (  -0) 2-5 @ 0.9% (  -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.17% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 93 | 32 | 61 | 76 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 68 | 37 | 31 | 68 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 | 
| 4 | Freiburg | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 52 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 51 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 51 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 50 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 47 | 
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 45 | 
| 10 | Stuttgart | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 44 | 
| 11 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 40 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 37 | 
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 32 | 
| 15 | St Pauli | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 31 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 60 | -24 | 29 | 
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 25 | 
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 67 | -36 | 22 | 
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