

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 72.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 10.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.58%) and 0-3 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-0 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 10.43% | 16.92% | 72.65% |
| Both teams to score 48.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.73% | 40.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.35% | 62.64% |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.21% | 46.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.67% | 82.33% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.3% | 9.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.68% | 32.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 1-0 @ 3.45% 2-1 @ 3.05% 2-0 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.72% Total : 10.43% | 1-1 @ 8.04% 0-0 @ 4.54% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.79% Total : 16.92% | 0-2 @ 12.35% 0-1 @ 10.58% 0-3 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 9.38% 1-3 @ 7.3% 0-4 @ 5.61% 1-4 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-5 @ 2.62% 1-5 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.62% 0-6 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.54% Total : 72.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 68 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 42 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 59 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 56 |
| 6 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 49 |
| 7 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 48 |
| 8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 34 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 32 |
| 15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 31 |
| 16 | Schalke 04Schalke | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 30 |
| 17 | Stuttgart | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 28 |
| 18 | Hertha Berlin | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 25 |
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