

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 15.35% | 18.77% | 65.88% |
| Both teams to score 56.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.35% | 58.65% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.32% | 36.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.53% | 73.47% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.66% | 10.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.2% | 33.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 4.33% 1-0 @ 3.8% 2-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-1 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.23% Total : 15.35% | 1-1 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.91% 0-0 @ 3.79% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.77% | 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 9.77% 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-3 @ 7.41% 0-3 @ 7.39% 1-4 @ 4.2% 0-4 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.72% 2-4 @ 2.11% 1-5 @ 1.91% 0-5 @ 1.9% 2-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.93% Total : 65.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 62 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 56 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 56 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 46 |
| 8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 45 |
| 9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 36 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 31 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 28 |
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 28 |
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 27 |
| 18 | Hertha Berlin | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 22 |
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