

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 56.91% | 22.43% | 20.65% |
| Both teams to score 54.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% | 66.77% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.62% | 15.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.83% | 44.17% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.52% | 35.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.76% | 72.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.56% 3-1 @ 6.18% 3-0 @ 5.97% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.9% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.56% Total : 56.91% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 5.46% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.65% 1-2 @ 5.49% 0-2 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.91% Total : 20.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 68 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 42 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 60 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 59 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 49 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 49 |
| 8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 35 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 34 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 32 |
| 15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 31 |
| 16 | Schalke 04Schalke | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 30 |
| 17 | Stuttgart | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 29 |
| 18 | Hertha Berlin | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 25 |
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