Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
