

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 28.99% | 25.19% | 45.82% |
| Both teams to score 54.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% | 70.9% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% | 30.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.91% | 67.09% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% | 21.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.74% | 54.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.99% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-2 @ 7.85% 1-3 @ 4.76% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.49% Total : 45.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 68 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 42 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 60 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 59 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 49 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 49 |
| 8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 35 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 34 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 32 |
| 15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 31 |
| 16 | Schalke 04Schalke | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 30 |
| 17 | Stuttgart | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 29 |
| 18 | Hertha Berlin | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 25 |
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